Predictions for 2006

It’s always dangerous to make predictions for a new year but I’ll take a stab at it. My most confident prediction is a change in PC sales for 2006.  At this time, there aren’t many good reasons to upgrade to a new computer. Normally, a new version a Windows will require new hardware and boost new PC sales.  Even if Microsoft Vista is released this year I’m not sure it will have the impact of past Windows launches.

Security/Spyware protection will the focus of major PC makers this year. I predict AMD and Intel will both announce  hardware solutions to Spyware and other security issues.  According to KGW Channel 8 in Portland, 8% of new computer sales are generated by Spyware infections. I feel safe predicting Microsoft Vista will be delayed to include support for additional protections including enhancements to DEP(Data Execution Protection)

I predict surprises from Apple this year even though the Mac has lost its huge usability advantage. The popularity of the iPod and Apple “style” has recaptured some of the intense brand locality that has kept Apple in business. I expect to see a new system from Apple this year along with some fun TV commercials. The theme of the ads will be how your new Apple computer won’t suffer from spyware like your PC.

My last prediction and recommendation for new PC sales would be customized Boot CD’s.  When you purchase your PC it should come with a specific boot CD. You’ll still be able to create start up profiles for new drivers and applications but let’s allow users more control over this process!  Who knows, maybe Apple will include a boot DVD with a choice of Mac OS X, Windows or Linux.