Say Good-bye to Hard Disk Drives
I didn’t make any predictions on New Years Day because I was traveling so instead maybe I’ll make predictions all year long. Today’s prediction is that by 2010 “personal” computers will no longer have “hard disks”.
Replacing hard drives will be non-volatile memory commonly called “Flash memory”. It’s also called a “Solid State Disk” although there is no disc platter involved.
If you’ve been a digital camera user you’ve seen the price of memory like compact flash and Secure Digital cards plummet while the size capabilities have exploded. SanDisk has a 2 GB CompactFlash for $49.99.
Currently, you can put the entire Linux OS on a USB Flash keychain.
According to our friends at Engadget, A-Data is now making a 128GB SSD with a SATA Interface. That’s three times the minimum requirement for even Windows Vista!
While I may not be ready to replace my current 500GB Raid0 SATA drive, it’s only a matter of time before SSD will catch up with the four critical factors.
Speed will soon surpass mechanical drives and with no moving parts reliability is close behind. Once the price per byte comes down we’ll see a mini rack of removable Solid State Drives on the front every computer sold. I’m looking forward to it if only to make organization of my files easier to handle.
Next year I’ll continue my prediction discussing how every user will have their own personal SSD that they can plug into a computer and reboot to their user profile. After that we’ll be reading about software licenses that include text like “This version of Google Photoshop may be installed on up to 3 personal SSD chips” before digital rights management control kicks in.